Merrimack
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 88.4695Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 5-16 211 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 8-14 214 A Bryant America Eas ( 7- 6, 89.1) 13- 6 221 H Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 8-17 224 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 10-19 302 A Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 9-16 307 A Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 10-12 314 H Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 9-10 321 A Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 9- 8 325 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 9-13 328 H Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 11-10 403 A Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 11- 9 411 H Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 13- 9 422 A Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 14- 6 426 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 14-12 430 A Siena MAAC (12- 5, 90.4) 11-12 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Massachusetts 5-16 -11 -6 -0.96
211 H Holy Cross (MA) 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.58
214 A Bryant 13- 6 7 -2 +++ 9.02
221 H Utah 8-17 -9 -5 -1.69
224 A Dartmouth 10-19 -9 -6 -0.94
302 A Providence 9-16 -7 -5 -1.56
307 A Sacred Heart 10-12 -2 -4 1.79
314 H Marist 9-10 -1 -1 -0.03
321 A Mount St Marys 9- 8 1 2 -0.56
325 H Quinnipiac 9-13 -4 3 --- -6.63
328 H Iona 11-10 1 6 -- -4.59
403 A Manhattan 11- 9 2 2 0.25
411 H Canisius 13- 9 4 5 -0.51
422 A Siena 14- 6 8 -3 +++ 10.31
426 H Quinnipiac 14-12 2 3 -0.63
430 A Siena 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Quinnipiac 9-13 -4 3 --- -6.63 211 H Holy Cross (MA) 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.58 328 H Iona 11-10 1 6 -- -4.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Bryant 13- 6 7 -2 +++ 9.02 422 A Siena 14- 6 8 -3 +++ 10.31 430 A Siena 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 5-16 -6.77 13.83 1.38 0.89 -2.41
3 H Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 8-14 -9.63 10.97 -1.38 0.89 -4.92
3 A Bryant ( 7- 6, 89.1) 13- 6 -10.78 9.81 1.38 0.89 20.02
3 H Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 8-17 -4.74 15.85 -1.38 0.89 -2.74
3 A Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 10-19 -6.75 13.85 1.38 0.89 -2.40
3 A Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 9-16 -7.36 13.24 1.38 0.89 -2.68
3 A Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 10-12 -9.02 11.58 1.38 0.89 -3.42
3 H Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 9-10 -9.08 11.52 -1.38 0.89 -4.68
3 A Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 9- 8 -14.36 6.24 1.38 0.89 13.62
3 H Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 9-13 -12.69 7.91 -1.38 0.89 -6.29
3 H Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 11-10 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 0.89 6.40
3 A Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 11- 9 -14.56 6.04 1.38 0.89 13.27
3 H Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 13- 9 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 0.89 8.34
3 A Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 14- 6 -9.50 11.10 1.38 0.89 22.32
3 H Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 14-12 -12.69 7.91 -1.38 0.89 11.69
3 A Siena (12- 5, 90.4) 11-12 -9.50 11.10 1.38 0.89 -3.63
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62.48
|
winning pts = 95.6464 losing points = -33.1698
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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